Monday, October 23, 2006

I Am Correct By Definition. QED.

Good post at Intelligent Design the Future.

It begins:

Imagine wandering into a gymnasium where a basketball game is underway. You glance at the scoreboard: 60-0, in favor of the home team. 'Whoa -- the visiting team must stink,' you say to yourself -- only you then notice, after watching for a couple of minutes, that the visitors are actually outscoring the home team. So what gives? You ask someone who looks knowledgeable.

'Oh, that,' he says. 'The visitors can't possibly win. So we don't bother to count their points.'

Strange way to play basketball, right? Yet something very similar is what Richard Dawkins has long advocated as the most decisive argument in the origins debate. One could call this his Design-Can't-Possibly-Be-True Argument. Variants of the argument have popped up in Dawkins's writings for at least 20 years. Here's a recent version, from his chapter in the anthology Intelligent Thought (p. 103):

Given that chance is ruled out for sufficient levels of improbability, we know of only two processes that can generate specified improbability. They are intelligent design and natural selection, and only the latter is capable of serving as an ultimate explanation. It generates specified improbability from a starting point of great simplicity. Intelligent design can't do that, because the designer must itself be an entity at an extremely high level of specified improbability. Whereas the specification of the Boeing 747 is that it must be able to fly, the specification of "intelligent designer" is that it must be able to design. And intelligent design cannot be the ultimate explanation for anything, for it begs the question of its own origin.

Michael Ruse muttered to me darkly several years ago that Dawkins seems not to understand that this argument makes evolution by natural selection true by necessity -- hardly a happy position for any putatively empirical theory to be in.

Let's go back to the basketball game. If it is possible for the home team to win, it is also possible for them to lose. The outcome cannot be settled a priori, but turns on the actual state of play, namely, on which team scores the most points.

Evolution by natural selection might be the case -- the best explanation, or the winner, via the evidence. As a theory about matters of empirical fact, however, it is also possible that evolution by natural selection might not be the case. It could lose, on the evidence. By logical symmetry, of course, the same situation obtains for intelligent design. Indeed, much of Dawkins's work involves bringing evidence to bear against intelligent design (the backwards retina, transitional fossils, et cetera).

Turns out however that for Dawkins evidence isn't finally decisive. Indeed evidence does not count at all, in the end. Only those explanations that begin with primal physical simplicity, such as natural selection, can possibly serve as real theories. Design loses, no matter what.

When a philosopher hears that a theory about questions of empirical fact cannot be false, or that its competitors cannot be true, his tracking radar turns on. Sure enough, in his review of The God Delusion, NYU philosopher Thomas Nagel locks onto precisely the same worry that caused Ruse to mutter darkly about seductive but unsound a priori arguments.

By framing an argument that appears to win in every empirical circumstance -- design can't possibly be true, whatever the evidence -- Dawkins misunderstands what is at stake in the debate. Evolution by natural selection can't win simply by epistemological necessity...

Quote

In the comments to this good Gaghdad Bob post, Bob says:

In general, every bad philosophy starts on second base and simply assumes having reached first base.

The Bell Tolls For Thee

Shrinkwrapped looks at gloom and doom amidst leftist baby boomers, and ascribes a great deal of it to the increasing knowledge that the Grim Reaper is catching up with them.

excerpt:

For the generation that came of age in the heady days of the 1960s, with their personal mythology that their LOVE and commitment stopped an unjust war and brought down a quasi-fascist state, the personal has always been political. When we were young and strong and invincible, we rebelled against the stultifying morality of our parents and achieved heights of libidinal freedom that few could ever have felt before or since. We Imagined there was no war and there was no war. Yet, now, at an age when past generations were slowly slipping into retirement, as the first of the baby boomers (weren't we supposed to be Forever Young?) move into retirement (a retirement we are redefining even as I write this) there is a problem for us. We weren't supposed to become old and infirm, and be replaced by a younger generation. In fact, many of my peers rationalized not having children because of how much stress people put on the environment, and now have no children of their own to hand off the mantle to; yet those right wing reactionaries insisted on having children and now the country is turning redder and redder (and this will continue whether or not the Democrats can stem the tide of historical inevitability one more time with the help of the legacy media). Here is where the pessimism comes from:

When the Narcissistic character ages, his usual sources of self-esteem regulation break down. He no longer has the kinds of sexual stamina and prowess he had in his youth (and no amount of Viagra can hide the fact from himself.) Her beauty is fading and men no longer stare at her on the street, preferring to stare at her daughter (and men are pigs anyway.) Young turks have the energy to compete in the global market and the old graybeards can only get along just so far with their wiles and wisdom before recognizing their time is passing. Approaching retirement, Baby Boomer women begin to have a dawning awareness that they really couldn't have it all; some choices, once made, precluded other possibilities later, and there are no do-overs. This is why the elites are so unhappy. The world has changed and not to their liking, and the world is no longer about us, but about our children.

...

Now many of us are old and haven't died yet; there is no rush to die before we get any older either, but there is certainly an awareness of our mortality. Those who were unfortunate enough to never realize that life must be lived spiritually as well as materially (vertically as well as horizontally, in Robert's eloquent locution, whose post today, Men Without Chests and Women Without Breasts, is a wonderful disquisition on similar topics done in his inimitable style) have nothing to fall back upon once they have left the bloom of their youth. Once the slope of life turns downward, the Narcissist has only his anger or his despair to sustain him. It makes the entire world seem like a gloomy, unhappy place. If Michael Barone were correct, that the gloom relates primarily to the background threat from WMD in the hands of people who wish us harm, the healthy and energized Baby Boomer would be mobilized to attack the danger and prepare to defend our culture. Yet, because the threat of WMD is somewhat distanced, and statistically unlikely for any individual, while the threat of aging is unmistakably real to each of us, only the close threat is acknowledged by the Narcissistic Boomer. Further, the continued leadership of Bush and his minions, who are so obviously less worldly and less intellectual than those who deserve to be making the world a better place (mostly by wishing it were) is an intolerable insult.

If the Democrats win the mid-term elections, they are likely to cause great grief to our ability to fight against an implacable enemy. Yet, if they lose, again, I fear for their rage and despair. It is when the external world shows its indifference that the Narcissist is most at risk for existential despair.

Friday, October 20, 2006

Might Be Setting Themselves Up For A Monumental Backfire

I don't know about you, but I really don't like the MSM crowing about how they think I'm going to vote and who they think is going to win before the election is even held. That reason alone is enough to make me go out and vote GOP, even though I think they're a bunch of ineffective, corrupt, milquetoast, afraid-of-their-own-shadows morons who badly need to be taught a lesson. But those who count their chickens before they've hatched need to be taught an even bigger lesson. If I can't be happy voting for the GOP, at least I can be happy sticking it to the MSM suckdogs.

That little reflection was prompted by this Dr. Sanity piece.

excerpts:

This week on The Sanity Squad podcast, Siggy, Neo, Shrink, and I discussed the increasingly prevalent phenomenon of "news" stories whose only purpose seems to be to proclaim loudly and almost hysterically (ok, I added the latter adverb) that there is absolutely, positively NO WAY that the GOP can win in November's elections; or a variation on that theme to the effect that the Republicans are hopelessly conflicted with each other and that various and assorted groups of them will actually vote for...you got it!...Democrats in the coming election!

Sample headlines from just this week (all purporting to be "news" as opposed to opinion):

[Many headlines to the effect that the GOP is going to get bulldozed]

And, of course, there is also setting up the fall-guys, should the GOP pull it out come November:

In Close Races, GOP Holds Advantage of Funds (WashPost) - subtext: the only reason the GOP could win these races is because of [evil] money money money. Issues have nothing to do with it.

Funding Constrains Democrats (WashPost) - other wise they would WIN!

Moderates in Kansas Decide They're Not in GOP Anymore (WashPost)

New Laws and Machines May Spell Voting Woes NYT

And, of course, concerned Democrats are already beginning to question the security of electronic voting (see here, for example) - we all know that those evil Republicans would surely stoop to election fraud; nevermind that we demanded electronic voting so that they couldn't cheat and not count the chads....

Now, the above was just a sampling that I obtained over the last few days from Memeorandum, and doesn't even count all the giddy lefty bloggers who are busily going about counting their chickens before they are hatched; and who cite wildly erratic polls as if they were absolute objective reality.

Having been a psychiatrist for quite some time; and having specialized in dealing with the masters of emotional manipulation in the personality disordered realm, I can say without any doubt that I know when I am being manipulated.

And the manipulation of this "news"--i.e., the artful and deliberate managing of what are purported to be objective "facts" by the news media--has gone into hyperdrive as the November midterm elections approach.

Can you guess the purpose of this manipulation? There are actually two purposes. The first sets up a clear expectation in the minds of the American population:

There is no way that Republicans can hold onto the House or the Senate. Everyone is abandoning ship. The Republicans are in complete disarray. The polls clearly demonstrate that Republicans are going to lose bigtime.

The second purpose is to deliver the fall-guy and establish blame in advance in case the reality on November 7, 2006 does not go the way the MSM (and the Democrats) planned.

Those RICH Republicans can only win if they spend more money than the POOR Democrats (who by the way, are just like Joe Sixpack and have to struggle every day with money woes because the evil [rich] Republicans only support the rich and oppress the poor; nevermind about millionaires Soros, Kennedy, Kerry, etc. etc. and most of the Hollywood elite who support Dems--they don't count). Oh, and the other reason that Republicans might win is if they CHEAT.

...

All good poltical theater--in fact, all good political manipulation-- like the above, requires setting up at the beginning of the play the good guys and the bad guys, so that by the climax and denoument the moral of the story is clear. We have been set up for one of two endings in [this drama]:

NOVEMBER ELECTION DRAMA:
Ending #1: The virtuous Democrats have defeated the evil GOP who tried every despicable method in their arsenal as they attempted to thwart the rightful return to power of the Democrats. Good has triumphed over Evil at long last.

Ending #2: The virtuous Democrats were robbed by the evil GOP who used (gasp!) filthy lucre to buy their way to another undeserved victory; and, the Republicans also blatantly cheated and stole the election from the rightful winners. Virtue and Goodness cannot succeed where there is Evil and Corruption.

...

Possibly, there are other acceptable endings for the authors of this little play; but you can count on one common theme : The Bush Administration, Republicans, and/or the U.S. are always--always--the bad guys.

And one overriding plotline: The world, sadly out of kilter; and America, at the beginning of its end, will only be rescued and set back on its proper path when Democrats (read: the political left) regain their rightful place in the hallowed halls of political power.

THE END
(roll credits and...thunderous applause!)

The next day, the MSM will be sure to feature the rave reviews.

See the whole piece for links, as well as parallels to how the MSM is starting to spin that the US picking on poor widdle North Korea.

Righteous Rebuttal

AOPA (Aircraft Owners and Pilots Association) president Phil Boyer gives blowhard posturing politicians what for:

Mayor Daley's latest rants have sent me over the edge. He used the accident in New York to once again demand a no-fly zone over downtown Chicago for general aviation aircraft.

It was expected, of course. He has an irrational hatred for piston-engine aircraft, as evidenced by his illogical tirade this week. "They should not jeopardize, through intentionally or by accident, a single- or two-engine plane flying over our city [sic]," the Meigs Field destroyer exploded at a press conference. (I don't think he was including Boeing 737s, 757s, and 767s in his list of twin-engine aircraft.) "Remember: a single- or two-engine plane can kill as many people as possible if they want to." [right. And I can knock over a house by throwing a beer can at it]

And if it were just Daley, I'd ignore his ravings, just as the folks in the federal government in charge of security and airspace do.

But it's not just him. Other politicians (with the spectacular and notable exception of New York City Mayor Michael Bloomberg) and self-appointed "experts" are jumping on the tragic accident — repeat, accident — in New York to sound off again about the "danger" of light aircraft, and how they must be regulated, restricted, banned.

OK, for all of those ranting about "threats" from GA aircraft, we'll believe that you're really serious about controlling "threats" when you call for:

* Banning all vans within cities. A small panel van was used in the first World Trade Center attack. The bomb, which weighed 1,500 pounds, killed six and injured 1,042.

* Banning all box trucks from cities. Timothy McVeigh's rented Ryder truck carried a 5,000-pound bomb that killed 168 in Oklahoma City.

* Banning all semi-trailer trucks. They can carry bombs weighing more than 50,000 pounds.

* Banning newspapers on subways. That's how the terrorists hid packages of sarin nerve gas in the Tokyo subway system. They killed 12.

* Banning backpacks on all buses and subways. That's how the terrorists got the bombs into the London subway system. They killed 52.

* Banning all cell phones on trains. That's how they detonated the bombs in backpacks placed on commuter trains in Madrid. They killed 191.

* Banning all small pleasure boats on public waterways. That's how terrorists attacked the USS Cole, killing 17.

* Banning all heavy or bulky clothing in all public places. That's how suicide bombers hide their murderous charges. Thousands killed.

Number of people killed by a terrorist attack using a GA aircraft? Zero.

Number of people injured by a terrorist attack using a GA aircraft? Zero.

Property damage from a terrorist attack using a GA aircraft? None.

So Mr. Mayor (and Mr. Governor, Ms. Senator, Mr. Congressman, and Mr. "Expert"), if you're truly serious about "protecting" the public, advocate all of the bans I've listed above. Using the "logic" you apply to general aviation aircraft, you're forced to conclude that newspapers, winter coats, cell phones, backpacks, trucks, and boats all pose much greater risks to the public.

So be consistent in your logic. If you are dead set on restricting a personal transportation system that carries more passengers than any single airline, reaches more American cities than all the airlines combined, provides employment for 1.3 million American citizens and $160 billion in business "to protect the public," then restrict or control every other transportation system that the terrorists have demonstrated they can use to kill.

If you're not willing to be consistent, then we might think that you're pandering to uninformed public fears, posturing from the soapbox of demagoguery, screaming security for your own political ends.

Thursday, October 19, 2006

No Philosophical Agendas Here

Interesting quotes from biology textbooks. Remember, only theocratic morons think there is some sort of incompatibility between neo-Darwinism and theism. Evolutionary scientists are utterly neutral on the question, and, in fact, have nothing to say about it.

Also, check out this really fun and heated debate between Richard Dawkins and David Quinn. Two fine intellects crossing swords is a rarity, and the debate is definitely worth a listen. BTW, I find it interesting that Dawkins states flatly that he is "just not interested in free will". Also, the accents are quite charming. My prayer is that eventually Richard Dawkins will have some sort of Road to Damascus conversion. Now that would be fascinating.

The Hammer Was Finally Brought Down Hard On The Judiciary And The MSM Didn't Even Notice

The first I heard about this. Poor, poor, judiciary. Don't the Executive and Legislative know that the Judiciary is the most important and powerful branch?

exceprts:

During the bitter controversy over the military commission bill, which President Bush signed into law on Tuesday, most of the press and the professional punditry missed the big story. In the struggle for power between the three branches of government, it is not the presidency that "won." Instead, it is the judiciary that lost.

The new law is, above all, a stinging rebuke to the Supreme Court. It strips the courts of jurisdiction to hear any habeas corpus claim filed by any alien enemy combatant anywhere in the world. It was passed in response to the effort by a five-justice majority in Hamdan v. Rumsfeld to take control over terrorism policy. That majority extended judicial review to Guantanamo Bay, threw the Bush military commissions into doubt, and tried to extend the protections of Common Article 3 of the Geneva Conventions to al Qaeda and Taliban detainees, overturning the traditional understanding that Geneva does not cover terrorists, who are not signatories nor "combatants" in an internal civil war under Article 3.

Hamdan was an unprecedented attempt by the court to rewrite the law of war and intrude into war policy. The court must have thought its stunning power grab would go unchallenged. After all, it has gotten away with many broad assertions of judicial authority before. This has been because Congress is unwilling to take a clear position on controversial issues (like abortion, religion or race) and instead passes ambiguous laws which breed litigation and leave the power to decide to the federal courts.

...

In Hamdan, the court moved to sweep aside decades of law and practice so as to forge a grand new role for the courts to open their doors to enemy war prisoners. Led by John Paul Stevens and abetted by Anthony Kennedy, the majority ignored or creatively misread the court's World War II precedents. The approach catered to the legal academy, whose tastes run to swashbuckling assertions of judicial supremacy and radical innovations, rather than hewing to wise but boring precedents.

...

While there may be different ways to strike a balance, this is a decision for the president and Congress, not the courts. The Constitution gives Congress the authority to determine the jurisdiction of federal courts in peacetime, and also declares that habeas corpus can be suspended "in Cases of Rebellion or Invasion" when "the public Safety may require it." Congress's power is even greater when it is correcting the justices' errors. Courts are ill-equipped to decide whether vast resources should be devoted to reviewing military detentions. Or whether military personnel's time should be consumed traveling back to the U.S. for detainee hearings. Or whether we risk revealing information in these hearings that might compromise the intelligence sources and methods that may allow us to win the war.

This time, Congress and the president did not take the court's power grab lying down. They told the courts, in effect, to get out of the war on terror, stripped them of habeas jurisdiction over alien enemy combatants, and said there was nothing wrong with the military commissions. It is the first time since the New Deal that Congress had so completely divested the courts of power over a category of cases. It is also the first time since the Civil War that Congress saw fit to narrow the court's habeas powers in wartime because it disagreed with its decisions.

The law goes farther. It restores to the president command over the management of the war on terror. It directly reverses Hamdan by making clear that the courts cannot take up the Geneva Conventions. Except for some clearly defined war crimes, whose prosecution would also be up to executive discretion, it leaves interpretation and enforcement of the treaties up to the president. It even forbids courts from relying on foreign or international legal decisions in any decisions involving military commissions.

All this went overlooked during the fight over the bill by the media, which focused on Sens. McCain, Graham and Warner's opposition to the administration's proposals for the use of classified evidence at terrorist trials and permissible interrogation methods. In its eagerness to magnify an intra-GOP squabble, the media mostly ignored the substance of the bill, which gave current and future administrations, whether Democrat or Republican, the powers needed to win this war.

All The Religious Right Wants To Do Is Legislate Against The Left's Pursuit Of Sweetness And Light

Mark Shea points to a USA Today column about the double standard by which religious reasons for leftist causes are seen to be okay by the MSM and the intelligensia, but not for rightist causes. The column has garnered a large number of comments (mostly from liberals).

One comment says:

I think that in any debate about the policy goals of the religious right and the liberal left, it is important to note the nature of the policy changes that each side advocates. Typically, the left seeks to expand the scope of personal freedom by making such activities as abortion, marijuana use, gay marriage, etc. legal. While the right may find such activities abhorrent, the legality of those activities does not impose their practice on religious conservatives. The common argument is that religious conservatives are then forced to live in a society the nature of which they are not comfortable with, but every American finds some aspects of society discomfroting. I find it discomforting that the president believe he has a personal relationship with (what I believe to be) an imaginary, supposedly omnipotent and omniscient being. Even so, I would rather live with this that leave America. In the same way, religious conservatives should learn to live with things they find objectionable but are not forced to do.

In contrast to the left, the right typically seeks in its political goals to restrict the legality of a broad range of activities. No abortions, no gay marriages, etc. I would argue that christian conservatives have stake in whether I marry a man or not (though I am not in fact gay), and thus should not be in the business of restricting my ability to do so should I want to. In most cases (not all, there are leftists who try to restrict rights and I find them as objectionable as christian conservatives), the right seeks to restrict our freedoms while the left seeks to expand them. Both the left and the right make open value judgements about one another, but only the right tries to legislate the rights of their opponents out of existence.

Posted by: tom


My reply is as follows:

Tom--

I'm going to reword your post, and plug in "owning Negro slaves" where you talk about abortion. The right looks at abortion as the killing of the weak and defenseless because they inconvenience the strong. To them, it is something that needs to be fought, just as slavery was. Is your genuine response to that belief, simply "shut up, it's none of your business"? Can you see why the right isn't just going to roll over as you suggest? Anyway here is your post, with the changes. This is the logic you are essentially presenting to those on the right, who, unsurprisingly, do not find it at all convincing:

"I think that in any debate about the policy goals of the religious right and the liberal left, it is important to note the nature of the policy changes that each side advocates. Typically, the left seeks to expand the scope of personal freedom by making such activities as owning slaves, marijuana use, gay marriage, etc. legal. While the right may find such activities abhorrent, the legality of those activities does not impose their practice on religious conservatives. The common argument is that religious conservatives are then forced to live in a society the nature of which they are not comfortable with, but every American finds some aspects of society discomfroting. I find it discomforting that the president believe he has a personal relationship with (what I believe to be) an imaginary, supposedly omnipotent and omniscient being. Even so, I would rather live with this that leave America. In the same way, religious conservatives should learn to live with things they find objectionable, like owning slaves, but are not forced to do.

In contrast to the left, the right typically seeks in its political goals to restrict the legality of a broad range of activities. No owning slaves, no gay marriages, etc. I would argue that christian conservatives have no stake in whether I enslave Negroes or not (though I am not in fact a slave owner), and thus should not be in the business of restricting my ability to do so should I want to. In most cases (not all, there are leftists who try to restrict rights and I find them as objectionable as christian conservatives), the right seeks to restrict our freedoms while the left seeks to expand them. Both the left and the right make open value judgements about one another, but only the right tries to legislate the rights of their opponents out of existence. The left just wants to go about its business, and do with its Negro fieldworker slaves whatever it wishes. It is no business of the right's."

Wednesday, October 18, 2006

Hippie Foolishness

Which 60's stoner philosopher said this?

If we take away the subject (Humans), or even only the subjective constitution of our senses in general, then not only the nature and relations of objects in space and time, but even space and time themselves disappear; and that these, as appearances, cannot exist in themselves, but only in us. What may be the nature of objects considered as things in themselves and without reference to the receptivity of our sensibility is quite unknown to us. .... not only are the raindrops mere appearances, but even their circular (spherical) form, nay, the space itself through which they fall (motion), is nothing in itself, but both are mere modifications or fundamental dispositions of our sensible intuition, whilst the transcendental object remains for us utterly unknown.


It wasn't Timothy Leary. But it was in the 60's. The 1760's (approx). The hippie stoner was Immanuel Kant. I've never understood why this guy is so highly regarded.

I found the quote in this TenNapel piece about the postmodern absence of artistic form. The piece also contains this section:

Before hippies destroyed the western world in the late 60s there was a concept called "form". Form is structure. It is a skeleton which has an central idea and existence and it holds together various details which add up to a specific instance of the form.

John's right. The arts have never had lower standards for skill-less dummies to succeed. Photoshop, Maya and ACID music mixing software have allowed for no-talents to manipulate the arts.

The bastards that make [stuff] like this must hate kids. Either that or they are just plain retarded.

I'll go with both. They're retarded because we have entered this self delusion en masse. They hate children because ever since the lie of ZPG (zero population growth) people literally hate children. We abort em', resent them, fear having them and eventually dismantle our own culture over the fear of parenting them...

Tuesday, October 17, 2006

Sullivan, Ex Cathedra

Andrew Sullivan puts a lot on the table in this Time magazine piece.

I fisk it thus:

----------------------------

When Not Seeing Is Believing

Andrew Sullivan on the rise of fundamentalism and why embracing spiritual doubt is the key to defusing the tension between East and West
By ANDREW SULLIVAN

Something about the visit to the U.N. by Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad refuses to leave my mind. It wasn't his obvious intention to pursue nuclear technology and weaponry. It wasn't his denial of the Holocaust or even his eager anticipation of Armageddon. It was something else entirely. It was his smile. In every interview, confronting every loaded question, his eyes seemed calm, his expression at ease, his face at peace. He seemed utterly serene.

What is the source of his extraordinary calm? Yes, he's in a relatively good place right now, with his Hizballah proxies basking in a military draw with Israel. Yes, the U.S. is bogged down in a brutal war in Iraq. But Ahmadinejad is still unpopular at home, the Iranian economy is battered, and his major foes, Israel and the U.S., far outgun him--for now.

So let me submit that he is smiling and serene not because he is crazy. He is smiling gently because for him, the most perplexing and troubling questions we all face every day have already been answered. He has placed his trust in the arms of God. Just because it isn't the God that many of us believe in does not detract from the sincerity or power of his faith. It is a faith that is real, all too real--gripping billions across the Muslim world in a new wave of fervor and fanaticism. All worries are past him, all anxiety, all stress [that's a lot to conclude from watching him on the tv, a few times, Andrew]. "Peoples, driven by their divine nature, intrinsically seek good, virtue, perfection and beauty," Ahmadinejad said at the U.N. "Relying on our peoples, we can take giant steps towards reform and pave the road for human perfection. Whether we like it or not, justice, peace and virtue will sooner or later prevail in the world with the will of Almighty God."

Human perfection. Whether we like it or not. Justice, peace and virtue. That concept of the beneficent, omnipotent will of God and the need to always submit to it, whether we like it or not, is not new. It has been present in varying degrees throughout history in all three great monotheisms--Judaism, Christianity and Islam--from their very origins. And with it has come the utter certainty of those who say they have seen the face of God or have surrendered themselves to his power or have achieved the complete spiritual repose promised by the Books of all three faiths: the Torah, the Gospels, the Koran. That is where the smile comes from.

Complete calm comes from complete certainty. In today's unnerving, globalizing, sometimes terrifying world, such religious certainty is a balm more in demand than ever [actually, upon deep reflection and observing the society around me, along with its politics, I don't think it is, at all. Sullivan himself doesn't seem to demand it, so why should he presume that so many others do?] In the new millennium, Muslims are not alone in grasping the relief of submission to authority. The new Pope, despite his criticism of extremist religion and religious violence, represents a return to a more authoritarian form of Catholicism [the flakey Catholicism that Sullivan pines for was never official Church policy, so what Benedict is doing doesn't represent any kind of 'return']. In the Catholic triad of how we know truth--an eternal dialogue between papal authority, scriptural guidance and the experience of the faithful [how does scriptural guidance participate in this dialog? Scripture hasn't changed in 2000 years]--Benedict XVI has tilted the balance decisively back toward his own unanswerable truth [his own? What the hell is Sullivan talking about? How has Benedict departed from any of the last two millenia of teaching?].

What was remarkable about his recent address on Islam is what most critics missed. The bulk of his message was directed at the West, at its disavowal of religious authority and its embrace of what Benedict called "the subjective 'conscience.'" For Benedict, if your conscience tells you something that differs from his teaching [once again, 'his teaching'? Sullivan, please give some examples of this new teaching of Benedict's], it is a false conscience, a sign not of personal integrity but of sin. And so he has silenced [he silenced it? Then how did these words of yours get to me?] conscientious dissent within the church and insisted on absolutism in matters like abortion, end-of-life decisions, priestly celibacy, the role of women, homosexuality [cute how you just sort of tucked this one into the list as if it were equal to all the others for you, Andrew. Reminds me of the scene from American Grafitti where the underage kid tells the clerk, "I'll take a comb, two packs of chewing gum, the newspaper, a fifth of Jim Beam, and some beef jerky."] and interfaith dialogue.

In Protestant Christianity, especially in the U.S., the loudest voices are the most certain and uncompromising [well, duh. that's kind of tautological]. Many megachurches, which preach absolute adherence to inerrant Scripture, are thriving, while more moderate denominations are on the decline. That sense of certainty has even entered democratic politics in the U.S. We have, after all, a proudly born-again President [what is the evidence of this pride?]. And religious certainty surely cannot be disentangled from George W. Bush's utter conviction that he has made no mistakes in Iraq. "My faith frees me," the President once wrote. "Frees me to make the decisions that others might not like. Frees me to do the right thing, even though it may not poll well. Frees me to enjoy life and not worry about what comes next." [This is a statement of faith and trust in God, not a statement that Bush has a conviction of his own infallibility] In every messy context, the President seeks succor in a simple certainty--good vs. evil, terror vs. freedom--without sensing that wars are also won in the folds of uncertainty and guile, of doubt and tactical adjustment that are alien to the fundamentalist psyche [Sullivan has an infallible understanding of the fundamentalist psyche, you see. He seeks succor in this simple certainty--misplaced confidence vs. nuance, tactical adjustment vs rigidity--without sensing that others should also be understood without resorting to sweeping stereotypes, a concept that is alien to the Sullivan psyche].

I remember in my own faith journey that in those moments when I felt most lost in the world, I moved toward the absolutist part of my faith and gripped it with the white knuckles of fear. I brooked no dissent and patrolled my own soul for any hint of doubt. I required a faith not of sandstone but of granite [because I had a screwed up absolutist faith, absolutist faith must be screwed up for everyone].

Many Western liberals and secular types look at the zealotry closing in on them and draw an obvious [and therefore true? Where's the nuance, Sullivan? Does obvious equal true?] conclusion: religion is the problem. As our global politics become more enamored of religious certainty [once again, I see very little evidence of this. Especially on the part of Europe and at least half of the US], the stakes have increased, they argue, and they have a point. The evil terrorists of al-Qaeda invoke God as the sanction for their mass murder. And many beleaguered Americans respond by invoking God's certainty. And the cycle intensifies into something close to a religious war [we're not close to a religious war, Andrew. We're in one. And we didn't start it]. When the Presidents of the U.S. and Iran speak as much about God as about diplomacy [hyperbole], we have entered a newly dangerous era. The Islamist resurgence portends the worst. Imagine the fanaticism of 16th century Christians, waging religious war and burning heretics at the stake. Now give them nukes. See the problem [yes, I do. Do you?]? Domestically, the resurgence of religious certainty has deepened our cultural divisions. And so our political discourse gets more polarized, and our global discourse gets close to impossible.

How, after all, can you engage in a rational dialogue with a man like Ahmadinejad, who believes that Armageddon is near and that it is his duty to accelerate it [you can't]? How can Israel negotiate with people who are certain their instructions come from heaven and so decree that Israel must not exist in Muslim lands [it can't]? Equally, of course, how can one negotiate with fundamentalist Jews who claim that the West Bank is theirs forever by biblical mandate [you can't. But is there a stitch of evidence that they are running the show?]? Or with Fundamentalist Christians who believe that Israel's expansion is a biblical necessity rather than a strategic judgment [you can't. Same question.]?

There is, however, a way out. And it will come from the only place it can come from--the minds and souls of people of faith. It will come from the much derided moderate Muslims [how are they derided? People are eager to see evidence of their existence and are ready to welcome them with open arms], tolerant Jews and humble Christians [oh, yes. humble sit-down-and-shut-up Christians catch nothing but derision in this country]. The alternative to the secular-fundamentalist death spiral [is he talking about fundamentalist secularists, or a battle between believers and unbelievers?] is something called spiritual humility and sincere religious doubt [only the 'fundamentalists' need to change, huh, Andrew? Also, what the heck is 'sincere religious doubt?' I guess we all go to church on Sunday because we think it's probably all wrong. Is there such a thing as 'sincere secularist doubt'?]. Fundamentalism is not the only valid form of faith, and to say it is, is the great lie of our time [nice piece of hysterical hyperbole, Andrew. I just can't go anywhere without seeing billboards proclaiming this great lie].

There is also the faith that is once born and never experiences a catharsis or "born-again" conversion. There is the faith that treats the Bible as a moral fable as well as history and tries to live its truths in the light of contemporary knowledge, history, science and insight. There is a faith that draws important distinctions between core beliefs and less vital ones--that picks and chooses between doctrines under the guidance of individual conscience [that's why God gave us the 'Ten Suggestions'].

There is the faith that sees the message of Jesus or Muhammad as a broad indicator of how we should treat others, of what profound holiness requires, and not as an account literally true in all respects that includes an elaborate theology that explains everything. There is the dry Deism of many of America's Founding Fathers. There is the cafeteria Christianity of, say, Thomas Jefferson, who composed a new, shortened gospel that contained only the sayings of Jesus that Jefferson inferred were the real words of the real rabbi. There is the open-minded treatment of Scripture of today's Episcopalianism and the socially liberal but doctrinally wayward faith of most lay Catholics. There is the sacramental faith that regards God as present but ultimately unknowable, that looks into the abyss and hopes rather than sees. And there are many, many more varieties [none of them called Catholic. Why do you call yourself Catholic, Andrew?].

But all those alternative forms come back to the same root. Those kinds of faith recognize one thing, first of all, about the nature of God and humankind, and it is this: If God really is God, then God must, by definition, surpass our human understanding. Not entirely. We have Scripture; we have reason; we have religious authority; we have our own spiritual experiences of the divine. But there is still something we will never grasp, something we can never know--because God is beyond our human categories [transcendence does not equal negation]. And if God is beyond our categories, then God cannot be captured for certain [except for what God reveals. And He has revealed plenty. Humility does not consist in pretending otherwise]. We cannot know with the kind of surety that allows us to proclaim truth with a capital T [there is more in Heaven and Earth than is dreamt of in your philosophy, Andrew. There is plenty of capital T truth that we can proclaim, and must proclaim as Catholics, Andrew. You'd know this if you were, in fact, a Catholic]. There will always be something that eludes us. If there weren't, it would not be God [yup. None of which means what you think it means].

That faith begins with the assumption that the human soul is fallible, that it can delude itself, make mistakes and see only so far ahead [Catholic faith begins with the assumption that God is infallible, that He cannot speak or act untruly, that He cannot make mistakes, and can see all of the future. And that He tells us what we need to know. Deny this and you aren't a Catholic]. That, after all, is what it means to be human. No person has had the gift of omniscience [God is a person (three, actually). God is omniscient. By nature, though, and not by gift, so you are right. In a Clintonian sort of way]. Yes, Christians may want to say that of Jesus [may?!?]. But even the Gospels tell us that Jesus doubted [to feel forsaken is not to doubt] on the Cross, asking why his own father seemed to have abandoned him. The mystery that Christians are asked to embrace is not that Jesus was God [oh, really?!?] but that he was God-made-man, which is to say, prone to the feelings and doubts [your use of 'doubt' is either equivocal or heretical, here, Andrew] and joys and agonies of being human. Jesus himself seemed to make a point of that. He taught in parables rather than in abstract theories. He told stories. He had friends. He got to places late; he misread the actions of others [I'm going to need a reference, here]; he wept; he felt disappointment; he asked as many questions [geez, he asked those questions to get a response from us, not because gosh, he was wondering, and stuff] as he gave answers; and he was often silent in self-doubt [the only place He displayed anything remotely approaching self-doubt was in Gethsemane, and He was not silent there. And you know, I'm not finding a lot of self-doubt on your part in this piece, Andrew] or elusive or afraid.

God-as-Omniscience, by definition, could do and be none of those things. Hence, the sacrifice entailed in God becoming man. So, at the core of the very Gospels on which fundamentalists rely for their passionate certainty is a definition of humanness that is marked by imperfection and uncertainty. Even in Jesus. Perhaps especially in Jesus [this is stark, absolute heresy].

As humans, we can merely sense the existence of a higher truth, a greater coherence than ourselves, but we cannot see it face to face. That is either funny or sad, and humans stagger from one option to the other. Neither beasts nor angels, we live in twilight, and we are unsure whether it is a prelude to morning or a prelude to night [I'm sure as can be that it is a prelude to morning. But that's only because I'm a prisoner of soul-destroying stupid dogmas that tell me so].

The 16th century writer Michel de Montaigne lived in a world of religious war, just as we do. And he understood, as we must, that complete religious certainty is, in fact, the real blasphemy [no. to reject what has been revealed out of a bogus humility is, in fact, the real blasphemy]. As he put it, "We cannot worthily conceive the grandeur of those sublime and divine promises, if we can conceive them at all; to imagine them worthily, we must imagine them unimaginable, ineffable and incomprehensible, and completely different from those of our miserable experience. 'Eye cannot see,' says St. Paul, 'neither can it have entered into the heart of man, the happiness which God hath prepared for them that love him.'" [good heavens, this is an interesting twisting of St. Paul's words, attitudes, and mission! Probably he's taking de Montaigne way out of context, too.]

In that type of faith, doubt is not a threat. If we have never doubted, how can we say we have really believed? True belief is not about blind submission. It is about open-eyed acceptance, and acceptance requires persistent distance from the truth, and that distance is doubt [this is radically incoherent. Buddhism and Catholicism have a lot in common, eh, Andy? Especially Buddhism!]. Doubt, in other words, can feed faith, rather than destroy it. And it forces us, even while believing, to recognize our fundamental duty with respect to God's truth: humility [once again, this is a dangerously false notion of humility. To reject revelation because we "just can't know" is anything but humble. Especially if it anesthetizes a conscience warped by sexual depravity. But I guess true repentance is always for the other guy, right, Andrew?] We do not know. Which is why we believe [this is seriously confused. Repentance might help you think more clearly, Andrew. "Blessed are the clean of heart, for they will see God."]

In this sense, our religion, our moral life, is simply what we do. A Christian is not a Christian simply because she agrees to conform her life to some set of external principles or dogmas, or because at a particular moment in her life, she experienced a rupture and changed herself entirely. She is a Christian primarily because she acts like one [fine, as long as acting like one includes conforming her life to some set of external principles or dogmas, possibly experiencing a rupture and changing herself entirely, otherwise you're being entirely arbitrary]. She loves and forgives; she listens and prays; she contemplates and befriends; her faith and her life fuse into an unself-conscious unity that affirms a tradition of moral life and yet also makes it her own. In that nonfundamentalist understanding of faith, practice is more important than theory, love is more important than law, and mystery is seen as an insight into truth rather than an obstacle [none of this means what you think it means, Andrew. If it means what I think it means, then I agree with you completely].

And that is how that kind of faith interacts with politics. If we cannot know for sure at all times how to govern our own lives, what right or business do we have telling others how to live theirs [Holy cow! Isn't that what you're doing by writing this article and publishing it in Time?!? This is absurd!]? From a humble faith comes toleration of other faiths [so is yours a humble toleratin' kind of faith Andrew? Can you tolerate the fundamentalists?]. And from that toleration comes the oxygen that liberal democracy desperately needs to survive. That applies to all faiths, from Islam to Christianity. In global politics, it translates into a willingness to recognize empirical reality [revelation is part of empirical reality, as far as I'm concerned. Or is this some kind of forbidden thought?], even when it disturbs our ideology and interests. From moderate religion comes pragmatic politics. From a deep understanding of human fallibility comes the political tradition we used to call conservatism [oh, my. This faith I'm certain of, this revelation that I accept as objective capital T truth teaches human fallibility. I haven't seen much evidence of a leftist belief in human fallibility, but then, they've rejected the revelation].

I remember my grandmother's faith. She was an Irish immigrant who worked as a servant for priests. In her later years she lived with us, and we would go to Mass together. She was barely literate, the seventh of 13 children. And she could rattle off the Hail Mary with the speed and subtlety of a NASCAR lap [for contractual editorial reasons, 'illiteracy' and 'NASCAR' must appear in close proximity. Time magazine does, after all, boast a discriminating readership]. There were times when she embarrassed me--with her broad Irish brogue and reflexive deference to clerical authority. Couldn't she genuflect a little less deeply and pray a little less loudly? And then, as I winced at her volume in my quiet church, I saw that she was utterly oblivious to those around her. She was someplace else. And there were times when I caught her in the middle of saying the Rosary when she seemed to reach another level altogether--a higher, deeper place than I, with all my education and privilege, had yet reached [learn from her, Andrew. Learn from her].

Was that the certainty of fundamentalism? Or was it the initiation into a mystery none of us can ever fully understand? I'd argue the latter [it's not an either-or, thing, dude!]. The 18th century German playwright Gotthold Lessing said it best. He prayed a simple prayer: "If God were to hold all Truth concealed in his right hand, and in his left hand only the steady and diligent drive for Truth, albeit with the proviso that I would always and forever err in the process, and to offer me the choice, I would with all humility take the left hand, and say, Father, I will take this--the pure Truth is for You alone." [Gotthold Lessing thereby reveals himself as a supreme doofus. If God offers you Truth, you know what you do? You take it! DUH! It is not humilty to spurn grace offered by God]

That sentiment is as true now as it was more than two centuries ago when Lessing wrote it [you are absolutely correct. But it is also just as false]. Except now the very survival of our civilization may depend on it [only 'may'? that's a nice, humble ending. thanks for dialoguing with me. I'll definitely consider everything you had to say here. Maybe].

On Spiritual Sickness

Great post at One Cosmos.

It begins:

Mankind’s deepest problems are universal and existential. But solutions to these will problems vary from person to person and culture to culture, based upon insight, maturity, intelligence, and revelation.

It is a truism that ideas have consequences, but even ideas must take a back seat to the values that shape the ideas one is capable of thinking. One of the greatest benefits of a proper religious grounding is that very early on you internalize the value that your problems are your fault and that it is essentially a sin to externalize blame onto others. This is one of the sharpest divides between classical liberals and leftists, the latter of whom propagate the doctrine of victimology, i.e., the systematic shifting of blame to others. For the leftist mind, to the extent that your life is a failure, it is not your fault, but because of racism, classism, sexism, homophobia, white European maleism, whatever.

The point of this exercise is not to identify any real entity but to create a locus of blame, so that one’s existential problems may be externalized and spuriously relieved. The more mature culture is the one that produces individuals who locate existential problems within, and can both tolerate and transcend them--for example, tolerating the constitutional envy we discussed yesterday. There is no way to eliminate envy “from the outside,” which, after all, is why it is one of the commandments. The commandment does not say, “you shall try to eliminate envy by empowering a huge collective to give to each envious person according to his insatiable needs.”

The envious person unconsciously says, “if I can’t have it, then no one can. I will destroy the object of my envy.” Thus we can see how unhinged envy is at the basis of pure nihilism, and why our enemies are so frightening. Think of Hitler’s scorched earth policy of destroying every square inch of land as his armies retreated. If he could not rule the world, then he would take the world down with him. This is what is so frightening about the prospect of nihilsts with weapons of mass destruction, for they truly do not care about the world so long as the world does not comport with their fantasies of how it ought to be.

Clearly, the Islamists operate by this principle, and one naturally worries about the extent to which normative Islam is informed by the same toxic attitude. For even if we were to disregard all of the hideous violence that emanates from the religion of peace, we would still conclude that this is a religion of perpetual outrage based upon the behavior of its most visible spokesholes, such as CAIR or Juan Cole.

The constant perception of victimization--even amidst the outrageous and widespread victimization of others--must come from something deep within Islam itself, unless this is merely a modern deviation. Despite it all, I am still open to that possibility, although I haven’t been able to find a single example of a truly interior Islam outside Sufism (which in my view is more Vedanta than Islam). In proportion to the billion or so normative Muslims, there are only a handful of Sufis, and frankly, even many of them tilt toward the dark side...

And then keeps right on going.

America Is Coming Under The Fascist Boot

This American Thinker piece looks at the evidence that has been piling up during the Bush years.

Monday, October 16, 2006

The Truth Is Out There

Looking at the comments here, I saw that someone spammed the thread with a long post about Bush's 9/11 coverup (but not the faked moon landings). And someone else commented:

Oh yes, the Bush administration has been able to keep the big 9/11 plot a secret. Of course they weren't able to keep the surveillance of foreign calls to the US a secret. Nor were they able to keep their program of surveillance of terrorist money movements a secret. They also haven't been able to keep classified intelligence reports secret.

They have, however, been able to make four airplanes and their passengers disappear, implode several buildings, attack the Pentagon with a missile, and there have been NO LEAKS! Wow, it boggles the mind!

The Punishment Begins

Things are getting fun in Florida real estate:

I asked Mike Morgan at Morgan Florida if he had an update for us. Here it is. It is something quite different too.

Mike Morgan:

With so many “experts” out there singing the praises of the housing market, I think it is time for me to once again poke my head out. I had an email exchange this week with Jim Cramer, and it was hard to believe he is as bullish as he is. I hear from too many analysts and Wall Street gurus that don’t take the time to get out of their offices and get on the front line here in Florida, as well as Arizona, Texas, California, Virginia, etc. I also hear from the analysts and hedge fund managers that are visiting the corporate offices of the big builders. Unfortunately, they’re drinking the Cool Aid. It’s potent stuff that clouds rational thinking and it is probably just what is needed to wash down a few hundred stale donuts.

Do you remember my analogy of housing to donuts? A year ago I said this was like the room of 1,000 donuts. Even if they are warm Krispy Kremes, how many can you eat? Three? Maybe four? And even if you come back the next day, and the donuts are now half price, how many can you eat? Same thing with housing. We only have so many people in the US. But builders built houses like donuts. They sold houses to non-users. They sold houses to the greedy masses that bought multiple houses to flip. Now we have the inventory, but there are not enough people to occupy these homes. Moreover, with interest rates rising and mortgages becoming tougher to obtain, we have less and less people that can buy these homes, even if they want to.

Since my recent article in Barron's, I have received dozens of calls from builders, bankers, buyers and investment groups perched like vultures. Let me give you a sampling of a few calls.

Public Builder - Called me to find them bulk buyers with the ability to buy out all remaining units in developments they cannot sell. They are willing to sell at cost. I told them they were about 10% over the current distress market, and they didn’t even hesitate. They said, fine. Drop the price 10% and we’ll pay a 5% commission to you. Just help us get rid of this inventory.

Condo Developer - They have a 600 unit project that is 100% up for resale. This means no one is going to close when the building is completed in January. Every single buyer will walk from their 20% deposits. The developer will simply going to turn the keys over to the bank. And the bank will take a massive hit that will have the Feds on top of them in the blink of an eye.

Townhome Developer - Asked me to resell 132 units that they had sold a year ago for an average of $400,000 a unit. All of their buyers have notified them that they will not close. Unfortunately, even a year ago in the heated market these units were only worth about $250,000. Now, the units will not command more than $175,000 . . . if they’re lucky.

Real Estate Agent - She sold 10 of the 132 units I just mentioned to her friends, family, banker and co-workers. They’re all going to walk away from their $40,000 deposits, so they don’t lose $250,000. The developer will be stuck with 132 units that are not worth what it cost to build them.

Homeowner - This one really hurts, and this is the next wave of the massive tidal wave hitting this industry. As surfers know, the third set is the biggest. This homeowner purchased her home for $390,000 plus $15,000 in closing costs. It is now worth maybe $300,000. Their interest only ARM is scheduled for refinancing. The bank told them they need to come up with additional cash to cover the drop in equity. But they don’t have the $75,000 the bank wants. And even if they sell for $300,000 and clear $280,000, they can’t pay off their $390,000 mortgage balance. You see, their mortgage was 100% and it was interest only. They are going to walk away from the house and give it to the bank. The bank, if they are lucky, will sell the house for $300,000 less commissions and expenses. Maybe they will net out at $280,000. The math is simple. The bank, at best, will lose at least $110,000 on a $390,000 mortgage. That’s a 28% loss . . . IF they can sell at $300,000. Back to the donuts. Maybe they can sell a few of these homes at market prices, but as foreclosures mount, prices will drop further.

The Third Wave - This massive tidal wave will effect all aspects of our economy. Some banks will fail. Other banks will suffer the worst liquidity crisis since the Depression. And there is no way to stop this wave. This wave not only effects current mortgage holders who can no longer afford to live in their homes, but it devastates the new home market. Buyers with contracts are finding it tougher to qualify for mortgages. We can’t forget that rates are also up about 18% from a year ago, so buyers cannot afford the same home they could have a year ago.

I will wrap up with a statistic from a recent FDIC presentation.

“Bank exposure to mortgage and home equity is now at peak levels, having risen dramatically. If you look at 1998, the total exposure to mortgage and home equity loans was about 25 percent. In the last quarter, the third quarter, it had risen to 37 percent.”

And here’s the why this tidal wave is a killer. The 25 percent exposure was during a period of rising home prices and low inventory levels. The 37 percent follows the first two tidal waves of the highest inventory levels in the history of the United States and prices falling with equity disappearing daily.

I sold three homes last week for one public builder. Each of these homes sold for 40% less than the same homes sold a year ago. How about all of those neighbors when it comes time to refinance? The appraiser is going to look at current sales prices, and the bank is going to ask for additional funds to meet the equity requirements. Ouch. Where’s the Kool Aid?

The Ravings Of An Ignorant Theocrat

Highlighted here and here.

Who is this guy?

Wednesday, October 11th was an historic day in the life of the European Parliament.

Polish member of the European Parliament, Maciej Giertych, retired head of the Genetics Department of the Polish Academy of Science, and father of Polish Deputy Prime Minister, Roman Giertych, introduced a public seminar on the General Theory of Evolution to fellow MEP’s.

Professor Giertych questioned the value of teaching a continually falsified hypothesis - macroevolution - to students throughout Europe, as well as pointing out its lack of usefulness in regard to scientific endeavour...


What does he have to say? Just for starters:

In 1955, like all in my generation, I was fully convinced that Evolution was an established biological fact. The evidence was primarily paleontological. We were taught how to identify geological strata with the help of fossils, specific for a given epoch. The rocks were dated by the fossils, the fossils by the strata. A lecturer in stratigraphy, when asked during a field trip how the strata were dated, explained that we know the rate of current sedimentation, the depths of strata and thus the age of rocks. In any case, there are new isotopic techniques that confirm all this. This sounded very scientific and convincing.

In my studies I went on to a B.A. and M.A. in forestry, a Ph.D. in plant physiology and finally a D.Sc. in genetics. For a long time I was not bothered by geology, Evolution or any suspicious thoughts. I had my own field of research in population genetics of forest trees, with no immediate relevance to the controversy over Evolution.

Gradually, as my children got to the stage of learning biology in school and discussing their problems with Dad, I realized that the evidence for Evolution had shifted from paleontology and embryology to population genetics. But population genetics is my subject! I knew it was used to explain how Evolution progressed, but I was not aware it is used to prove it. Without my noticing it, my special field had become the supplier of the most pertinent evidence supporting the theory.

If Evolution were proved in some field I was not familiar with, I understood the need to accommodate my field to this fact, to suggest explanations how it occurred in terms of genetics. But to claim that these attempted explanations are the primary evidence for the theory was quite unacceptable to me. I started reading the current literature on the topic of Evolution. Until then I was not aware how shaky the evidence for Evolution was, how much of what was “evidence” had to be discarded, how little new evidence had been accumulated over the years, and how very much ideas dominate facts. These ideas have become dogma, yet they have no footing in natural sciences. They stem from materialistic philosophies...

Much more good stuff follows.

Why She Fights

Rousing post by Dr. Sanity entitled " ENABLING TERROR - What I Hate Most About the Democrats and Their Leftist Base".

Real Men Fight Back

Excellent ShrinkWrapped piece entitled "Trauma, Passivity, & the Fear of Aggression" looks at masculinity, a potential new policy about what school children should do when a gunman attacks (hint, not lie there and take it), and the increased psychological trauma that can come from being a passive victim in the face of criminal aggression. References a Dr. Helen piece where I found this comment:

"If kids are saved, then this is the most wonderful thing in the world. If kids are killed, people are going to wonder who's to blame," she said."

And that's precisely why most schools will NOT adopt this eminently sensible approach. A gunman comes and shoots ten people lying on the floor -- well, that's just an act of random violence. Couldn't be prevented. A gunman is rushed by students trained by their school to do so, and manages to kill only one of them, and there will be twenty underemployed plaintiff's attorneys panting to argue that it was the training that was responsible for the death -- because it can't be known for certain that the gunman had massacre in mind.

Proving to an average jury's satisfaction that the gunman would have killed someone anyway, in the face of a sympathetic plaintiff like a grieving mother, would be almost impossible.

$#$@ lawyers (said the lawyer).

It seems that our society currently runs on the principle "I'd rather be carried out by six than convicted by twelve," so the commenter has a point.

No Getting Away From It

Here's a depressing American Thinker piece examining the prospects of leftist dominance of the internet, specifically looking at the censorship policies of YouTube and Google, as well as the political leanings of the ownership and employees of these gatekeepers. Prognosis: prospects for leftist dominance are pretty good.

Ah, well, the original media gatekeeper ("Did God really say that?", etc) first appeared in Genesis 3, and there's no reason to expect much different in the future. God never promised His followers much wordly success. In fact, he kind of promised the opposite...

The Grass Soup Is Always Greener On The Other Side Of The DMZ

A 20-year-old defector from North Korea tells what it was like to grow up there.

The opening paragraph:

Growing up in North Korea, Hyok Kang was surrounded by desperate people who ate grass and bark before they died. Yet pervasive propaganda made them feel lucky to be there.

Sunday, October 15, 2006

Pilot's Perspective On Lidle Crash

At Popular Mechanics. With photos.

Stay Tuned

Gates Of Vienna ruminates on the future of Europe.

The piece starts:

Fjordman,

You have said that the countries of Western Europe are facing a civil war in the near future, fueled by the large mass of unassimilated immigrant Muslims which politically correct orthodoxy has allowed to accumulate.

I agree.

You have said that we are probably seeing the first skirmishes of this war in the riots that have recently broken out in Brussels, Gothenburg, Windsor, and the banlieux of Paris. You see these as the beginning of what might be called the Multicultural World War.

I agree.

But, now that the war is starting, how will it unfold? Assuming that the native inhabitants of Europe do not simply lie down in the streets like good dhimmis and let the legions of the Prophet trample over them, what will come next?

Here are some meditations about the future of Europe...

Office Linebacker

Funny stuff.

New Food For Thought

A friend of mine, who is a very original and provocative thinker, and not a blog reader, has started his own blog. He definitely welcomes comments and discussion, and his first post is far from "same old", so please have a look, and let him know what you think, pro or con.

Friday, October 13, 2006

Just Like Heaven

I've always liked The Cure. I've even dressed up like Robert Smith for Halloween a few times. Anyway, I was browsing around YouTube and found the video for "Just Like Heaven", and I also found a really tasty acoustic cover of the song, by Kaite Melua, who I've never heard of.




More Crash Speculation

At Peeve Farm. Includes link to this very cool photo. Well, if I were a flight instructor given the choice between hitting a building and violating Class B airspace, I'd violate the airspace. In fact, that is precisely what the Federal Aviation Regulations would require me to do.

Somewhere Over The Rainbow

Via Lileks, an interesting piece from New Scientist looks at how quickly the earth would recover if humans could be magically cleansed from the planet. The piece is interesting for its wistful, "oh if only" tone.

Also, check out the video of the fireworks factory explosion at the Lileks link.

You Can Run, But You Can't Hide

This is a pretty good site to peruse as a preparation for reading the book of Ecclesiastes. H/T Instapundit. Be sure to check out the archives indexed on the right of the page. Michael Jackson was just a pioneer a few years ahead of his time...

Noonan On Free Speech

Excellent column.

One Picture Says It All

The Koreas at night:

Thursday, October 12, 2006

The 'New Deal' Was Not Introduced By FDR In 1933. It Was Offered By The Serpent In Genesis Ch 3.

Great post at One Cosmos, the beginning of a series about the four-stage fall of political man.

Crash Speculation

Got this e-mail from a pilot friend who now lives in New York:

-----------------------------

Hi everybody,

It wasn't me !

Thanks for a lot of you checking on me. I got so many phone calls and emails,...

Anyway, you all probably heard and saw a tons of news clips on the airplane crash in Manhattan. The NY Yankees Lidle and flight instructor crashed with Lidle's SR20 into a high-rise building.

If you haven't flown around NY, here's a quick intro.

Even though you are very close to all 3 class B airspaces, there are special so called exclusions over the east river and Hudson river where you can fly between 500 and 1100 feet without talking to ATC. Over the east river the exclusion stops around Roosevelt Island and the river is really narrow there. If you want to fly up there, you have to fly up the east side of the river and then do a tight left 180 to fly southbound on the west side. And there are a bunch of tall buildings there. The weather conditions at the time of the crash (and I can confirm that looking out the window in Hoboken across the river) were 1800' overcast and the vix was not too good (estimate 5-6 miles) and a 10-15 knot wind from the east. So now, a private pilot with less than 100 hours (Lidle got his license a few months ago, just bought the SR20, the weather and wind from the east, tall buildings...None of this worked in his favor and I bet he underestimated the turn radius and drifted too far west over Manhattan.

I have never flown up there myself, but I know pilots who have and they all said even in a 172 with some flaps and flying very slow it's a tough turn. In a Cirrus and little experience, I would think this is kinda stupid.

Anyway, reports say there was an instructor on board, and the Cirrus is a low-wing, so I really don't understand how they could have not saved this situation. Some reports claim some mayday calls, but I that's not confirmed I guess.

Either way, it was a tragic accident, but still I think it was lucky that not more people were injured or killed.

I am wondering what the outcome for NY city sightseeing tours will be.

I usually fly the East river tour by starting out high over the Hudson river after I get a clearance from LaGuardia, I cross over Central Park at around 1500' and stay that high all the way south on the East River until I cross the Manhattan or Broookly bridge. Then I drop into the exclusion and head towards the Statue of Liberty, circle around it at 500-600 and then head north along the Hudson river at 500-1000 feet. So the only time I am close to buildings is when I fly past Ground 0 northbound on the Hudson river, but I have the whole wide river to stay far enough away from anything :-)

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Wednesday, October 11, 2006

Leaking Secrets Is Such An Outrage And Stuff

TenNapel:

I'm searching the internet right now and I can't find a single Democrat condemning the leaking of a homosexual Senator's personal messages to a legal aged ex-page.

As I look up these leaks there are thousands of hysterical politicians demanding an investigation as to who leaked Valerie Plame's name...was it Cheney? Libby? Oh, it's Armitage? Nevermind. Leaking is only bad if it chums the water against Rove.

I can't seem to find any condemnation from Democrats for the New York Times leaking our intelligence techniques for gleaning phone records and banking transactions of supposed terrorists. Maybe if the supposed terrorists were Republican homosexuals they might finally conced wire-tapping.

Just to get things straight, we can't intercept the personal interactions of suspected terrorists but we should widely disseminate and publicize the personal sexual exchange between two legal aged homosexuals. I stay up late at night wondering how we can get these poor democrats more power and more leadership roles for the good of America.

Tuesday, October 10, 2006

Evangelical Linebacker

Wacky, but amusing.

Kumbaya

A great anti-Democrat campaign ad by Scary Movie producer David Zucker. See Drudge for details.

Sunday, October 08, 2006

One Cosmos

Is becoming a must-read for me. Here's a good post.

I liked this section:

One reason there is no purpose in arguing with a moonbat is that I cannot simply show someone what I see, any more more than Mozart could simply show you what he perceives in musical space (this is for pedagogic purposes only, not to compare myself to Mozart). One must first develop the skill in order to access the reality in question.

Take psychotherapy, for example. A great psychoanalyst, say, ShrinkWrapped, in listening to a patient’s free associations, will literally “see” a whole world of meaning that only exists in disconnected “bits” for the patient. One of the purposes of therapy will be to help the patient bring these bits together into a meaningful whole. Isn’t this also the task of the great historian--to take the literally infinite jumble of historical facts, and convert them into a deep, coherent, and satisfying vision? Isn’t this what Karl Marx did, or secular leftists do, only in a preposterously shallow way that appeals to moonbats but is repellant to the deep and thoughtful?

But can you argue with a neo-Marxist moonbat? No, you cannot, because it is a matter of competing visions. I can see the Marxist vision perfectly well, because it is so on the surface of reality. But I know of no Marxist who can truly share my vision, for if they did, they would be “converted.” They may think they get it, but they only understand the words. You know the story--folly to the geeks, a stumbling block to the clueless, and all that. Truth cannot be told so as to be understood and not believed, said Blake.

Again, do not be confused by the language, because I believe this goes a long way toward explaining the obvious hostility in our culture war. As Mitchell writes, “When opposing frameworks are so different that adherents of one cannot speak intelligibly to adherents of the other, the possibility of one partisan convincing another of the superiority of his position is slight. But even when persuasion becomes impossible, conversion remains viable."

In other words, all one can do is attempt to expose the poverty the opponent's position, and “to stimulate interest for [one’s] own richer perspectives; trusting that once an opponent has caught a glimpse of these, he cannot fail to sense a new mental satisfaction, which will attract him further and finally draw him over to its own grounds” (Polanyi).

Thus, in the final analysis, I am not looking for arguments but for converts--not to my particular point of view, but simply to a more encompassing vision of reality. I cannot give this vision directly, but I know for a fact that by sharing it and giving people the opportunity to “dwell” in it, they can be, in their own way “converted” to their own vision. I have received enough letters of thanks from former liberals to know that "conversion" is not too strong a word. Again, not to belabor the point, but it is not a conversion to "Gagdad Bobism," but to their own personal vision that begins to see the greater spiritual depth in things.

Back to arguing with moonbats. The reason they are powerless to persuade me is that there is simply no way I am ever going to revert to a philosophy that is so paltry and unsatisfying compared to my present one. It’s just not going to happen, any more than I would give up my wife for a watermelon.

Steyn

On the page scandal:

I'm not a "typical right-wing pedophile apologist" excusing Foley. But, in case you haven't noticed, he's gone. He quit quicker than his instant message. And, true, he's since done the usual contemptible redemption shtick, announcing he's going into alcohol rehab, etc., when the reality is he'd be a better man if he drank more and IMed teens about the size of their wedding tackle less. And yes, he'll get a book deal, just like New Jersey's revolting ex-governor. But no one will buy the book -- and besides, what do you want? When a member of the House of Lords went abroad after a homosexual scandal, King George V is said to have remarked, "Good God, I thought fellows like that shot themselves." It may, indeed, be a less revolting spectacle for a chap to take a tumbler of whiskey and a loaded revolver into his study than to go on "Oprah" and bore on about his personal demons, abusive father, etc., etc. But we live in different times. Foley's history; he's the first footnote in history to a page in history. So the only question now is whether there is any larger issue here worth spending 10 minutes on.

And the answer to that is obvious. This was a honey trap (as they used to say in the Cold War) designed to leverage one peripheral figure's squalid fantasies into political opportunity. It's as predictable as the leaves falling from the trees, except that it only occurs every other autumn. Still, I take my hat off to the media and Democratic Party. Indeed, in the spirit of Bill Clinton, I take my pants off to them. It is a remarkable achievement to have transformed, in little more than a week, the GOP into the Catholic Diocese of Boston with Speaker Hastert as Cardinal Law and the page program as the massed ranks of 7-year-old altar boys. What an awesome force the Dems would be if only the ruthless skill and cunning that went into this operation could be applied to, say, national security.

But I very much doubt, despite the expertise with which the sheep have been rounded up and set baa-ing, that Showtime at the Foley Bergere will pay off in November. There are many legitimate reasons for electors to toss out the Republican Congress, but the notion that they're a hotbed of gay pedophile enablers is not one of them. Had Foley dug in and attempted to cling on, his GOP colleagues would have been all over TV deploring his behavior, calling on him to step down, expressing outrage, etc. After two or three days, a few lefties might even have piped up to assail the Republican theocrat sexual McCarthyites tormenting the poor chap. Had he actually had sex with congressional pages, affronted gay groups would have pointed out this was perfectly legal in the relevant jurisdictions and would have complained ferociously about the stigmatizing of gay relationships and Democrats would have declared there should be places for all at the American table, especially had Foley done a Jim McGreevey and announced that "my truth is I am a gay American." A few quirks of timing and the parties' respective roles might have been entirely reversed. Scandalwise, the Republicans always play the submissive masochists but the Dems are bi-swingers, happy to flay the GOP as either (a) uptight prudes or (b) pedophile enablers, according to what suits. What would have been consistent in both narratives is the assumption by the Democrats, the media and the Gay Page Tip-Line end of the Republican Party is that the electorate is stupid. In the sense that there's any "child abuse" going on here, the American people are being treated like children and abused by the politico-media class.

If The Left Says Something Is Sordid And Disgusting, Well, Then, I Guess It Really Must Be

Thomas Lifson on the Foley affair.

excerpt:

The left, in possession of a scandal which they think can drive a wedge between evangelicals and the GOP, is behaving like a shark driven mad by the scent of blood in the water. Certain individuals strike out blindly in a political feeding frenzy. There’s no telling what wounds will be inflicted on whom.

How else to account for the dynamic at work, with people like Lawrence O’Donnell coyly dropping itty-bitty hints in the Huffington Post that a certain key GOP figure might be a little light in the loafers, nudge-nudge, wink-wink.

...

Of course, O’Donnell, with both a DC and Hollywood imprint on his career, stays in the realm of deniability. But his Huffpo commenters get it. A brief sample:

[samples follow, and they sure sound like mean-spirited homophobia *gasp!*]

I do not think that the feminist organizations have ever recovered from their betrayal of all their principles in their defense of Bill Clinton’s behavior with Monica Lewinsky, Paula Jones, and Kathleen Willey (among others). They lost legitimacy in the eyes of too many in the public, and even in the press. Flamboyantly-betrayed principles do not ever again function as an effective political weapon.

Mainstream members of the homosexual community have a lot on the line with the Foley case. A new rule book is being written for behavior expected of homosexuals with consenting adult young males.

...

Are gay men from now on supposed to have nothing to do with younger men until they are above the age of consent? What about all those gay scoutmasters the left wants to empower to go out on camping trips?

The mind of middle America is deeply uneasy about the idea that older homosexuals become friends with underage men, and then when they come of age, engage in sex. That’s why the visceral reaction to Foley, whatever the legalities, is so strong.

Shall we propose legislation that criminalizes sexual activities between consenting adult homosexuals if they came into contact before one of them was 16 or 18 or what ever the local age of consent is? And for that matter, what about heterosexuals?

Such a comprehensive law would be welcome, certainly by parents of both boys and girls. But I doubt very much that the gay community is interested in its passage. In fact, I strongly suspect that is a cause it would prefer not to discuss.

But once the point is conceded in the case of Foley that something truly objectionable has taken place, can ordinary homoexuals working in ordinary jobs ever feel secure again? Conceding that homosexuality combined with friendliness to young males is a danger sign warranting official inquiry is a big step in that direction.

And when the frenzy turns to outing or casting aspersions, nobody is safe, even practicing heterosexuals who happen to like show tunes, or have close male friends, or dress more elegantly than others.

Saturday, October 07, 2006

I Got A Gut Feeling!

Awesome anti-jihad video! Set to one of my all time favorite DEVO songs. Appears on a site called "What Would Charles Martel Do?"

There's Science, And Then There's Engineering

A different take:

Scientist says: Science is the discovery of how things in the natural world work. Engineering is the practical application of scientific discovery.

Engineer says: Engineering is the practical application of scientific discovery. Scientific discovery is simply reverse engineering.

So you see, it’s really all engineering. You either take something that already exists and reverse engineer it (that’s science) or you take the knowledge gained from reverse engineering and create something that doesn’t already exist with it.

Well, you know, God Himself was principally a Creator (Engineer), and since, "All things came to be through him, and without him nothing came to be" (John 1), he didn't really need to act as a scientist discovering things he didn't already know. With respect to the natural order studied by human science, it would be radically theologically incorrect to call God a scientist, but not to call him an engineer. However, The Son is begotten by The Father through a divine act of self-knowing which is more akin to Science than Engineering, since The Son is "begotten, not made". With respect to Himself (in the relations of the persons of the Trinity), God is a Scientist. With respect to the created order, He is an Engineer. Human science interests itself in the created order, which is primarily about Divine Engineering. Theology interests itself in God's Being, which is uncreated, and based on His own self-knowing (scientia). Human science is about Divine Engineering, while theology is about Divine Science. So there ya go.

Heads I Win, Tails You Lose

Some interesting rationalization by Richard Dawkins highlighted here.

Interactive Philosophy/Theology Game

I like this effort. H/T TenNapel

It Turns Out That Cultures Differ In More Than Cuisine

Fascinating blog post about cultural differences by a guy who has spent time living and working among the Arabs.

Really Good Anti-Windows Rant

Here (H/T Peeve Farm).

excerpt:

Normally, I use Macs for 75% of my day-to-day stuff and only dip into Windows when I’m learning about a new bit of software or hardware, or need to do something that can’t be done on a Mac…or if a Windows machine is simply the handiest keyboard. But for the past few months, Windows has had to be a 50-50 partner. My next book, due out in November (iPod: Fully Loaded; oh, aren’t you a dear for asking) is as much about PCs as it is about Macs.

Yes, on a daily basis, I had cause to remember that the word for the act of throwing something through a window is “defenestrate,” and that the ten-syllable obscene compound gerund that describes a male offspring of a female dog who, in turn, engages in coitus with her own mother and has been forsaken by the Lord Himself is… well, decorum prevents me.

“When you get past the schoolyard mentality and the stupid, ignorant prejudices,” you have heard people say, “what we have are two different operating systems that each work very, very well. Really, it’s not a matter of good or bad. It’s just a matter of personal preference.”

Those are very wise words. I have said much the same thing. But what I’ve endured over the past few months is the equivalent of a weeklong road trip with someone whose company you’ve always enjoyed, but never really known as a true friend. Windows has propped its bare smelly feet up on my dashboard and told me the story about how he was so hung over during his aunt’s funeral that he threw up into the coffin a little. His greasy hair has left smears on the inside of the window that no solvent can shift. He just sort of assumed that he could use my iPod, and during the one time he took a turn at the wheel, the battery was completely flat and I had to listen the story about the funeral a second time.

So I’m not saying that my fond regards won’t return in time. But I’m going to have to spend a few weeks alone first.

In the meantime, how do I hate Windows? Let me count the ways:

...

Keeping Windows running and stable is like maintaining a pair of underpants.


Ideally, you could just patch the holes and tears and thin spots as you go, but deep down you know that you’re just staving off the inevitable. The thing is designed to be used it until it no longer has any structural integrity whatsoever, at which point you’ll have to toss the whole thing.

It’s just a fundamental truth of Windows. A once-stable OS installation slowly grinds itself to pieces over time. Hour after hour, week after week, hundreds of bits of poorly-designed software each leave their individual dings, scratches, and fingerprints in the system directory. Unless you’re fairly knowledgeable and extremely aggressive about preventative maintenance, the only truly successful solution is a clean re-install.

I’ve got some good friends who are top Windows experts and I’m no slouch myself (dammit)…yet many of the PCs that I’m loaned for review purposes don’t even stay 100% operational for the 30 to 60 days I have ‘em. Here’s a notebook that three weeks later, keeps tabbing itself to another window without warning. A desktop that is suddenly fully-functional except for the trivial matter of actually showing anything on any monitor. Another notebook which takes (no joke) nine minutes to wake from hibernation.

And I’ve had problems with Macs, too. But it’s an uncanny syndrome with Windows.

Every new PC comes pre-loaded with useless junk.

Apple pre-installs some software on new Macs, but it’s either terrific free stuff (like iLife) or demo apps that don’t bother you if you don’t use them.

Thirty days after you unpacked a new PC, it starts. The DVD decoder starts asking you if you want to now purchase the optional super DVD decoder. The antivirus app tells you that your subscriptions are out of date and you need to provide a credit-card number. There was some kind of branded media player that you never launched even once, and it continues to throw popups in your face every five minutes despite your yelling at the screen every time it happens.

Yes, your user experience has now turned into Pledge Week at your local public television station…and you didn’t even get to see a Monty Python marathon first.

...

Way Outside The Box

Cool demo video highlighted by Peeve Farm (YouTube link is in the post). Fresh thinking about taking the desktop metaphor into the 21st century. I'm unclear whether there is really much utility in the idea, but it looks really cool.

Quote

Seen here:

"One useless man is a shame, two is a law firm, and three or more is a congress".

--John Adams

For Some, Hypocrisy Is The Only Real Outrage

Jonah Goldberg:

[T]he only moral lapse that reliably and consistently offends all liberals collectively is hypocrisy. As Howard Dean declared on Meet the Press last year: “Everybody has ethical shortcomings. We ought not to lecture each other about our ethical shortcomings.” But he continued: “I will use whatever position I have in order to root out hypocrisy.” This is a remarkably convenient principle insofar as it can indict only people with actual principles.

Everybody Talks About The Weather, But No One Does Anything About It

Back from a very fun trip to the East Coast, including a great time in Cincinnati, Yale, Newport RI, and Manhattan. I have no idea what's been big in the news. Just a vague impression that the press is gleeful over some sort of garden-variety perversion scandal that, I'm sure, will have not one iota of effect on the next election, so lots of noise about nothing, and I don't regret missing any of the details. It is refreshing not to be immersed in the futile, "what will we be saying tomorrow about what we think today about what we were saying yesterday about what that guy said about what we said last week about that other guy" fever dream, hall-of-mirrors, self-stroking insanity of the MSM (and to some degree, but on a much higher intellectual level, the Blogosphere).

First post I looked at to get back up to speed is this unusual one from The Anchoress. It seems that cosmic rays have a bigger effect on climate and weather than anyone would've thought.